2012 in a Crystal Bowl
Jan 18, 2012 by Aaron Rubman
What will 2012 bring? Technology can be extraordinarily fickle to predict – but here’s what I see in the coming year.
Cross-Platform CMS
Over the past year Social Media Aggregators and Content Management Systems have become easier to use and increasingly important to maintaining the variety of online properties we each deal with.
Currently everyone builds their own toolkit of solutions, but I think that this year we’re going to see increasingly robust systems until it gets to the point where you can use a single pre-built suite to manage the entirety of your online presence from a single location.
Smartphones Overtake Traditional Computer Sales
Smartphones (and their tablet cousins) are where the real market growth will be this year. Not only do smart phones have a relatively short lifespan, but the improvement from one generation to the next is palpable. A faster processor doesn’t mean much on your computer, where most websites load before you even realize you’ve clicked a link – but on a mobile phone where we can still count seconds while a page loads, even a 20% boost in efficiency will be noticeable.
If you do not already have a website customized for mobile viewing, this is the year to think about adding such a template.
This is not to say that the desktop computer is about to go the way of the land-line telephones just yet, but they definitely have become an appliance rather than an innovation. When you go shopping for a new computer, odds are that you’re more interested in reliability, support, and durability than in “cutting edge” functionality.
We’ve stopped merging new technologies into the computer, and started looking for ways to merge computer functions into other technologies (internet TVs anyone?)
Voice Responsive Websites
Because we’re doing more and more of our computing from our phones, it’s only natural that we’re also going to want the functions of our phones on our computers. VoIP is already here with services like Skype and GTalk, but all the hands-free rules mean that our phones have also been designed to accept voice inputs.
I think that 2012 will be the year when we start seeing websites that capitalize on the same technology. We don’t yet have the technology for exact transcriptions, but a site that knows to open a new window or navigate to a specific page is entirely within our current capabilities.
The Death of 3D
The first Golden Era of 3D lasted about 3 years, from 1952-1955. It was a fad, a novelty that seemed to offer great potential but never delivered. Even though 3D offers the illusion of depth, it can’t offer multiple perspectives or create the sort of all-encompassing environment that would actually change the way in which we tell stories.
The new craze hit in 2009 with the release of Avatar. It’s three years are almost up, and modern movie makers have proven no more adept at using the technology to change the movie going experience.
Perhaps the true holographic projectors that are under development around the world will give 3D the tools it’ll need to last, but they’re not going to be commercially available this year.
What do you see?
Share your predictions for 2012 in the comments below!














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